Lobos Upnfm travel to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 22 August (02:00 WAT) to face CD Motagua. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Lobos Upnfm sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Estrella Roja 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Lobos Upnfm 2–1 CD Motagua. Across their last 2 meetings CD Motagua have won 1, Lobos Upnfm 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for CD Motagua and 0.8 for Lobos Upnfm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 68%, draw 18%, Lobos Upnfm 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–0 Lobos Upnfm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.95
Lobos Upnfm14%fair 7.29 · @5.50
2.80Expected goals
2.04CD Motagua xG
0.76Lobos Upnfm xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.0 – 0.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lobos Upnfm 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
