Value bet: CD Olimpia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
CD Motagua travel to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles in the Liga Nacional on Monday 17 August (00:15 WAT) to face CD Olimpia. CD Olimpia are 1st with 33 points from 14 games (top of the table), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CD Olimpia's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Juticalpa 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CD Motagua's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with CS Cartagines 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished CD Motagua 0–1 CD Olimpia. Across their last 2 meetings CD Olimpia have won 1, CD Motagua 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for CD Olimpia and 0.9 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Olimpia 60%, draw 23%, CD Motagua 17%.
Safer route: CD Olimpia or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: CD Olimpia to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: CD Olimpia 2–0 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Olimpia60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
CD Motagua17%fair 5.84 · @3.80
2.66Expected goals
1.81CD Olimpia xG
0.86CD Motagua xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 1.8 – 0.9 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Motagua 17%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 2–0 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
