Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja preview and prediction
The match
Estrella Roja travel to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles in the Liga Nacional on Monday 10 August (00:15 WAT) to face CD Motagua.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat FAS 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for CD Motagua and 0.7 for Estrella Roja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 65%, draw 17%, Estrella Roja 18%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CD Motagua 1–0 Estrella Roja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua65%fair 1.54 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @5.00
Estrella Roja18%fair 5.69 · @8.80
2.50Expected goals
1.77CD Motagua xG
0.73Estrella Roja xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.8 – 0.7 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✗
65%
1.54
1.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.48
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
CD Motagua – last 6
WWWDWW
7 Aug
vs FAS
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Juticalpa
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Verdes
5–0
W
22 May
@ CD Marathon
1–1
D
19 May
vs Génesis
2–1
W
13 May
@ Olancho
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja – last 1
L
3 Aug
vs Olancho
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estrella Roja 18%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja?
CD Motagua vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
