Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Platense FC vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Platense FC take on CD Marathon on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Excelsior. Platense FC are 11th with 8 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Platense FC's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Real Espana 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
CD Marathon's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Atletico Independiente 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Marathon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished CD Marathon 2–2 Platense FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Platense FC and 1.2 for CD Marathon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Platense FC 33%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Platense FC 0–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense FC33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
CD Marathon45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
2.19Expected goals
0.97Platense FC xG
1.22CD Marathon xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Platense FC 1.0 – 1.2 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Platense FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 45%.
How many goals will there be in Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Platense FC 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Platense FC vs CD Marathon?
Platense FC vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Excelsior.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
