Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Juticalpa vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Juticalpa take on CD Motagua on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Juticalpa are 12th with 6 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Juticalpa's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Lobos Upnfm 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CD Motagua's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Verdes 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished CD Motagua 2–1 Juticalpa. Across their last 2 meetings Juticalpa have won 0, CD Motagua 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Juticalpa and 2.2 for CD Motagua. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juticalpa 12%, draw 18%, CD Motagua 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juticalpa 0–2 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juticalpa12%fair 8.17 · @6.40
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.10
CD Motagua69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
3.00Expected goals
0.80Juticalpa xG
2.20CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Juticalpa 0.8 – 2.2 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Juticalpa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and CD Motagua 69%.
How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Juticalpa 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
Juticalpa vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
