Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca U21 to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.89
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX U21 sees Pachuca U21 take on Necaxa U21 on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT). Pachuca U21 are 15th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Necaxa U21 sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pachuca U21's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna U21 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Necaxa U21's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Club America U21 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Necaxa U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Pachuca U21 and 0.9 for Necaxa U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Pachuca U21 to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pachuca U21 1–0 Necaxa U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca U2159%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Necaxa U2121%fair 4.72 · @3.40
2.72Expected goals
1.79Pachuca U21 xG
0.93Necaxa U21 xG
46%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pachuca U21 1.8 – 0.9 Necaxa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca U21 to win✗
59%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Pachuca U21 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca U21 / FT Pachuca U21✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
15.89
–
Form
Pachuca U21 – last 6
LWDDDD
26 Sep
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Club Tijuana U21
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
4 Sep
@ Juarez U21
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Atl. San Luis U21
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Necaxa U21 – last 6
WLLDWW
27 Sep
vs Club America U21
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Atl. San Luis U21
2–3
L
11 Sep
vs Puebla U21
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tigres UANL U21
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Cruz Azul U21
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ UNAM Pumas U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca U21 and Necaxa U21.
What is the prediction for Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Our pick is Pachuca U21 to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
On our numbers Pachuca U21 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Necaxa U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Our predicted score is Pachuca U21 1–0 Necaxa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
