Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21 preview and prediction
The match
Cruz Azul U21 host Toluca U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Cruz Azul U21 are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Toluca U21 sit 1st on 46 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruz Azul U21's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Monterrey U21 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Toluca U21's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Santos Laguna U21 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Toluca U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Cruz Azul U21 and 1.4 for Toluca U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Cruz Azul U21 1–1 Toluca U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul U2135%fair 2.89 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Toluca U2145%fair 2.24 · @2.20
2.67Expected goals
1.23Cruz Azul U21 xG
1.44Toluca U21 xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul U21 1.2 – 1.4 Toluca U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca U21 to win✓
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Cruz Azul U21 – last 6
LLWLDD
19 Sep
@ Monterrey U21
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Club America U21
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Santos Laguna U21
4–0
W
28 Aug
@ Necaxa U21
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Atlas U21
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toluca U21 – last 6
WWWWDW
20 Sep
vs Santos Laguna U21
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Atlas U21
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Juarez U21
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Queretaro U21
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul U21 and Toluca U21.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
On our numbers Cruz Azul U21 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toluca U21 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul U21 1–1 Toluca U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
