Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Toluca U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca U21 to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 preview and prediction
The match
Toluca U21 host Santos Laguna U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Toluca U21 are 1st with 46 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Santos Laguna U21 sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toluca U21's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Atlas U21 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santos Laguna U21's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Juarez U21 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Toluca U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Toluca U21 and 0.7 for Santos Laguna U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Toluca U21 to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Toluca U21 1–0 Santos Laguna U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca U2166%fair 1.52 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Santos Laguna U2111%fair 8.74 · @5.25
2.65Expected goals
1.95Toluca U21 xG
0.70Santos Laguna U21 xG
43%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Toluca U21 1.9 – 0.7 Santos Laguna U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca U21 to win✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Double chance
Toluca U21 or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Toluca U21 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Toluca U21 – last 6
WWWDWD
12 Sep
vs Atlas U21
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Juarez U21
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Queretaro U21
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs UNAM Pumas U21
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna U21 – last 6
DLWDLD
13 Sep
vs Juarez U21
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cruz Azul U21
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Tigres UANL U21
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Puebla U21
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Club America U21
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca U21 and Santos Laguna U21.
What is the prediction for Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21?
Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21?
On our numbers Toluca U21 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos Laguna U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21?
Our predicted score is Toluca U21 1–0 Santos Laguna U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21?
Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
