Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara Chivas U21 to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas U21 or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 preview and prediction
The match
UNAM Pumas U21 travel to face Guadalajara Chivas U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Sunday 13 September (16:00 WAT). Guadalajara Chivas U21 are 3rd with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while UNAM Pumas U21 sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Guadalajara Chivas U21's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Atl. San Luis U21 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
UNAM Pumas U21's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Club Leon U21 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guadalajara Chivas U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Guadalajara Chivas U21 and 0.8 for UNAM Pumas U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 44%.
Safer route: Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 UNAM Pumas U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara Chivas U2161%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
UNAM Pumas U2118%fair 5.64 · @3.30
2.60Expected goals
1.79Guadalajara Chivas U21 xG
0.82UNAM Pumas U21 xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1.8 – 0.8 UNAM Pumas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas U21 / FT Guadalajara Chivas U21✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Guadalajara Chivas U21 – last 6
WDLWDD
5 Sep
@ Atl. San Luis U21
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Pachuca U21
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Club Tijuana U21
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Santos Laguna U21
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ Puebla U21
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Toluca U21
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UNAM Pumas U21 – last 6
DLLWLD
6 Sep
vs Club Leon U21
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Queretaro U21
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Juarez U21
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Toluca U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas U21 and UNAM Pumas U21.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas U21 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UNAM Pumas U21 18%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 UNAM Pumas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
