Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca U21 to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21 preview and prediction
The match
Toluca U21 host Atlas U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Toluca U21 are 1st with 46 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Atlas U21 sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toluca U21's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Juarez U21 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlas U21's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Atlante U21 4–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Toluca U21 and 0.7 for Atlas U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Toluca U21 to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Toluca U21 1–0 Atlas U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca U2167%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.70
Atlas U2112%fair 8.45 · @3.90
2.57Expected goals
1.91Toluca U21 xG
0.67Atlas U21 xG
45%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Toluca U21 1.9 – 0.7 Atlas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca U21 to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Toluca U21 or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Toluca U21 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.34
–
Form
Toluca U21 – last 6
WWDWDD
30 Aug
vs Juarez U21
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Queretaro U21
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs UNAM Pumas U21
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlas U21 – last 6
WWDWLD
5 Sep
vs Atlante U21
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Queretaro U21
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Cruz Azul U21
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Tigres UANL U21
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Monterrey U21
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca U21 and Atlas U21.
What is the prediction for Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
On our numbers Toluca U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlas U21 12%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
Our predicted score is Toluca U21 1–0 Atlas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
