Value bet: Club Leon U21 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Leon U21 to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.62
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21 preview and prediction
The match
UNAM Pumas U21 host Club Leon U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). UNAM Pumas U21 are 12th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Club Leon U21 sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UNAM Pumas U21's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Club Tijuana U21 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Club Leon U21's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Atlante U21 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Club Leon U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for UNAM Pumas U21 and 1.3 for Club Leon U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UNAM Pumas U21 37%, draw 24%, Club Leon U21 39%.
Value angle: Club Leon U21 to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: UNAM Pumas U21 1–1 Club Leon U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UNAM Pumas U2137%fair 2.67 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Club Leon U2139%fair 2.58 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.24UNAM Pumas U21 xG
1.26Club Leon U21 xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: UNAM Pumas U21 1.2 – 1.3 Club Leon U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Leon U21 to win✗
39%
2.58
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Leon U21 / FT Club Leon U21✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.62
–
Form
UNAM Pumas U21 – last 6
LLWLDD
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Queretaro U21
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Juarez U21
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Toluca U21
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Pachuca U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Leon U21 – last 6
WWDLDW
28 Aug
@ Atlante U21
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Monterrey U21
2–1
W
17 Aug
@ Necaxa U21
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Pachuca U21
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Atlas U21
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNAM Pumas U21 and Club Leon U21.
What is the prediction for UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21?
On our numbers UNAM Pumas U21 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Leon U21 39%.
How many goals will there be in UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Our predicted score is UNAM Pumas U21 1–1 Club Leon U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21?
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Club Leon U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
