Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atlas U21 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas U21 to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceAtlas U21 or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21 preview and prediction
The match
Queretaro U21 travel to face Atlas U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Saturday 29 August (16:00 WAT). Atlas U21 are 17th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Queretaro U21 sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlas U21's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Cruz Azul U21 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Queretaro U21's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Toluca U21 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Atlas U21 and 0.6 for Queretaro U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 42%.
Value angle: Atlas U21 to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlas U21 or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlas U21 1–0 Queretaro U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas U2163%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Queretaro U2113%fair 7.85 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.68Atlas U21 xG
0.62Queretaro U21 xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atlas U21 1.7 – 0.6 Queretaro U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas U21 to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Atlas U21 or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas U21 / FT Atlas U21✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Form
Atlas U21 – last 6
DWLDLD
22 Aug
@ Cruz Azul U21
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Tigres UANL U21
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Monterrey U21
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ Club Leon U21
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Queretaro U21 – last 6
LLWLLW
21 Aug
vs Toluca U21
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ UNAM Pumas U21
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Tigres UANL U21
4–0
W
26 Jul
@ Pachuca U21
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Club America U21
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Puebla U21
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas U21 and Queretaro U21.
What is the prediction for Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21?
Our pick is Atlas U21 or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21?
On our numbers Atlas U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Queretaro U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21?
Our predicted score is Atlas U21 1–0 Queretaro U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21?
Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
