Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca U21 to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.56
Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21 preview and prediction
The match
Toluca U21 travel to face Queretaro U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Friday 21 August (16:00 WAT). Queretaro U21 are 18th with 12 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Toluca U21 sit 1st on 46 points (top of the table). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Queretaro U21's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to UNAM Pumas U21 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Toluca U21's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Atlante U21 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Queretaro U21 and 1.9 for Toluca U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Toluca U21 to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Queretaro U21 0–1 Toluca U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Queretaro U2116%fair 6.40 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
Toluca U2166%fair 1.52 · @1.57
2.72Expected goals
0.78Queretaro U21 xG
1.94Toluca U21 xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Queretaro U21 0.8 – 1.9 Toluca U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca U21 to win✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Toluca U21 or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Toluca U21 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.56
–
Form
Queretaro U21 – last 6
LWLLWW
16 Aug
@ UNAM Pumas U21
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Tigres UANL U21
4–0
W
26 Jul
@ Pachuca U21
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Club America U21
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Puebla U21
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Mazatlan FC U21
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toluca U21 – last 6
DWDDWL
15 Aug
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs UNAM Pumas U21
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
2–2
D
29 Apr
vs Juarez U21
3–0
W
22 Apr
@ Mazatlan FC U21
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Queretaro U21 and Toluca U21.
What is the prediction for Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?
Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?
On our numbers Queretaro U21 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toluca U21 66%.
How many goals will there be in Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?
Our predicted score is Queretaro U21 0–1 Toluca U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?
Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
