Value bet: Club Leon U21 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Leon U21 to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 28.82
Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21 preview and prediction
The match
Club Leon U21 travel to face Necaxa U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Monday 17 August (16:00 WAT). Necaxa U21 are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Club Leon U21 sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Necaxa U21's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Toluca U21 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Club Leon U21's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Club Tijuana U21 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Necaxa U21 and 1.4 for Club Leon U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa U21 35%, draw 19%, Club Leon U21 45%.
Value angle: Club Leon U21 to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Necaxa U21 1–2 Club Leon U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa U2135%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Club Leon U2145%fair 2.21 · @2.50
2.68Expected goals
1.23Necaxa U21 xG
1.45Club Leon U21 xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Necaxa U21 1.2 – 1.4 Club Leon U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Leon U21 to win✗
45%
2.21
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Leon U21 / FT Club Leon U21✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
28.82
–
Form
Necaxa U21 – last 6
LLDWWL
2 Aug
@ Toluca U21
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Monterrey U21
0–3
L
16 Jul
vs Atlante U21
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Mazatlan FC U21
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs UNAM Pumas U21
1–0
W
17 Mar
@ Puebla U21
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Leon U21 – last 6
LDWWDL
8 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Pachuca U21
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Atlas U21
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Club America U21
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ Puebla U21
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa U21 and Club Leon U21.
What is the prediction for Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
On our numbers Necaxa U21 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club Leon U21 45%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Our predicted score is Necaxa U21 1–2 Club Leon U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
