Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓7% · fair 13.55
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils host Ogre United in the Cup on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Tukums 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ogre United's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Riga 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Ogre United 0–4 BFC Daugavpils. Across their last 3 meetings BFC Daugavpils have won 3, Ogre United 0, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.0 for BFC Daugavpils and 1.5 for Ogre United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 67%, draw 17%, Ogre United 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils67%fair 1.50 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @4.75
Ogre United16%fair 6.17 · @9.00
4.57Expected goals
3.03BFC Daugavpils xG
1.55Ogre United xG
58%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
2–26%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 3.0 – 1.5 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ogre United 16%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United (Cup) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Latvia · Stadions Celtnieks
