Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Gimcheon Sangmu FC take on Suwon City FC on Wednesday 29 July, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Form guide
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Daejeon Citizen 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Suwon City FC's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Daegu FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Suwon City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.8 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 2.2 for Suwon City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 49%, draw 22%, Suwon City FC 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Suwon City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Suwon City FC29%fair 3.42 · @3.20
5.00Expected goals
2.78Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
2.22Suwon City FC xG
70%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–26%
3–26%
2–16%
3–15%
2–35%
1–25%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2.8 – 2.2 Suwon City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win✓
49%
2.05
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
16.81
–
Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6
WDLDDL
25 Jul
vs Daejeon Citizen
3–2
W
22 Jul
@ Gwangju FC
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Gangwon FC
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Bucheon FC 1995
1–1
D
5 Jul
vs Jeju United FC
1–1
D
17 May
@ Jeonbuk Motors
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Suwon City FC – last 6
WDWWWD
25 Jul
@ Daegu FC
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Seoul E-Land FC
2–2
D
15 Jul
vs Pyeongchang United
3–2
W
10 Jul
vs Jeonnam Dragons
5–0
W
4 Jul
@ Ansan Greeners
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Cheonan City
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Suwon City FC.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Suwon City FC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Suwon City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Gimcheon Stadium
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