Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: France to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrance to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceFrance or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
France vs England preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees France take on England on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden.
Form guide
France's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Spain 0–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
England's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Argentina 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
France arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for France and 1.2 for England. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: France 57%, draw 23%, England 20%.
Safer route: France or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: France to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was France or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: France 2–1 England. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
France57%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.95
England20%fair 4.95 · @3.45
3.18Expected goals
2.02France xG
1.15England xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: France 2.0 – 1.2 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✗
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
France or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
France – last 6
LWWWWW
14 Jul
vs Spain
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Morocco
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Paraguay
1–0
W
30 Jun
vs Sweden
3–0
W
26 Jun
@ Norway
4–1
W
22 Jun
vs Iraq
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
England – last 6
LDWWWD
15 Jul
vs Argentina
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Norway
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Mexico
3–2
W
1 Jul
vs Congo DR
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Panama
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Ghana
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between France and England.
Our pick is France or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win France vs England?
On our numbers France have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and England 20%.
How many goals will there be in France vs England?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs England?
Our predicted score is France 2–1 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is France vs England?
France vs England (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
