Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultErbaaspor to win ✓47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor preview and prediction
The match
Erbaaspor travel to Mersin Stadyumu in the 2. Lig on Saturday 24 October (12:30 WAT) to face Hatayspor. Hatayspor are 17th with 0 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Erbaaspor sit 8th on 16 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hatayspor's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Şanlıurfaspor 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Erbaaspor's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Çorluspor 1947 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Erbaaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Hatayspor and 1.8 for Erbaaspor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Hatayspor 1–1 Erbaaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hatayspor31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Erbaaspor47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
3.14Expected goals
1.38Hatayspor xG
1.76Erbaaspor xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.4 – 1.8 Erbaaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbaaspor to win✓
47%
2.13
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbaaspor / FT Erbaaspor✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Hatayspor – last 6
LLLLWL
17 Oct
@ Şanlıurfaspor
2–4
L
11 Oct
vs Elazığspor
0–3
L
7 Oct
vs Karaköprü Belediyespor
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Isparta 32 Spor
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kastamonuspor
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erbaaspor – last 6
LLLLWW
18 Oct
vs Çorluspor 1947
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Güzide Gebzespor
1–2
L
7 Oct
@ Pazarspor
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Aliağa FAŞ
2–4
L
27 Sep
@ Adana Demirspor
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sebat Gençlikspor
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hatayspor and Erbaaspor.
What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?
On our numbers Hatayspor have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Erbaaspor 47%.
How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?
Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–1 Erbaaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?
Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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