Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Elazığspor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultElazığspor to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceElazığspor or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ preview and prediction
The match
Aliağa FAŞ travel to Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu in the 2. Lig on Saturday 19 September (17:00 WAT) to face Elazığspor. Elazığspor are 1st with 25 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Elazığspor's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Adana Demirspor 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aliağa FAŞ's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Isparta 32 Spor 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Elazığspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Elazığspor and 1.1 for Aliağa FAŞ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Elazığspor to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Elazığspor or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Elazığspor 2–1 Aliağa FAŞ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elazığspor59%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Aliağa FAŞ19%fair 5.31 · @3.80
3.25Expected goals
2.12Elazığspor xG
1.13Aliağa FAŞ xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Elazığspor 2.1 – 1.1 Aliağa FAŞ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elazığspor to win✓
59%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Elazığspor or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Elazığspor ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elazığspor / FT Elazığspor✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Elazığspor – last 6
WWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Adana Demirspor
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Sebat Gençlikspor
3–1
W
4 May
vs Adana 01 FK
2–1
W
30 Apr
@ Adana 01 FK
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ İskenderunspor
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Erbaaspor
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aliağa FAŞ – last 6
WWDDWW
13 Sep
vs Isparta 32 Spor
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Arnavutköy Belediyespor
4–1
W
30 Apr
vs Muş Sport Klübü
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Menemen FK
5–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kırklarelispor
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elazığspor and Aliağa FAŞ.
What is the prediction for Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our pick is Elazığspor or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
On our numbers Elazığspor have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aliağa FAŞ 19%.
How many goals will there be in Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our predicted score is Elazığspor 2–1 Aliağa FAŞ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ankaragücü1
Serik Spor1