Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Karsiyaka to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAyvalikgucu to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Lig Group 2 sees Ayvalikgucu take on Karsiyaka on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Ayvalikgucu are 8th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Karsiyaka sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ayvalikgucu's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Denizli İYG 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Karsiyaka's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Karsiyaka 0–2 Ayvalikgucu. Across their last 3 meetings Ayvalikgucu have won 1, Karsiyaka 1, with 1 draw and 1.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Ayvalikgucu and 1.0 for Karsiyaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Karsiyaka to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Ayvalikgucu 1–1 Karsiyaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayvalikgucu45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Karsiyaka33%fair 3.06 · @3.30
2.30Expected goals
1.28Ayvalikgucu xG
1.02Karsiyaka xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ayvalikgucu 1.3 – 1.0 Karsiyaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?
On our numbers Ayvalikgucu have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karsiyaka 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?
Our predicted score is Ayvalikgucu 1–1 Karsiyaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
