Value bet: Nilüfer Belediye to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNilüfer Belediye to win ✓46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye preview and prediction
The match
Altay host Nilüfer Belediye in the 3. Lig Group 2 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium. Altay are 11th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Nilüfer Belediye sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Altay's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Söke 1970 2–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nilüfer Belediye's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Etimesgut SK 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nilüfer Belediye arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Altay and 1.3 for Nilüfer Belediye. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Altay 33%, draw 21%, Nilüfer Belediye 46%.
Value angle: Nilüfer Belediye to win at 2.60 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Altay 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Altay33%fair 2.99 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Nilüfer Belediye46%fair 2.17 · @2.60
2.41Expected goals
1.07Altay xG
1.33Nilüfer Belediye xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Altay 1.1 – 1.3 Nilüfer Belediye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nilüfer Belediye to win✓
46%
2.17
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nilüfer Belediye / FT Nilüfer Belediye✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.34
–
Form
Altay – last 6
LDDDLD
15 Sep
vs Söke 1970
2–4
L
12 Sep
@ Karsiyaka
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Denizli İYG
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs İzmir Çoruhlu FK
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Anadolu Üniversitesi
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Alanya 1221 FK
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nilüfer Belediye – last 6
WWWLWW
13 Sep
vs Etimesgut SK
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Akşehirspor
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kartal Bulvarspor
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
0–3
L
24 Mar
vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Çankaya FK
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altay and Nilüfer Belediye.
What is the prediction for Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
On our numbers Altay have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nilüfer Belediye 46%.
How many goals will there be in Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our predicted score is Altay 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
