Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 56% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.30
Double chanceYalova Yeşilovaspor or draw ✗82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Lig Group 1 sees Yalova Yeşilovaspor take on Tokat Bld Plevnespor on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Yalova Yeşilovaspor are 14th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Tokat Bld Plevnespor sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Yalova Yeşilovaspor's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Etimesgut SK 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Yalova Yeşilovaspor and 1.1 for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%.
Safer route: Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw (82%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 56% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1–1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yalova Yeşilovaspor26%fair 3.88 · @2.10
Draw56%fair 1.77 · @3.30
Tokat Bld Plevnespor18%fair 5.61 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.28Yalova Yeşilovaspor xG
1.11Tokat Bld Plevnespor xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1.3 – 1.1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.77
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yalova Yeşilovaspor / FT Yalova Yeşilovaspor✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Yalova Yeşilovaspor – last 6
LLLDDD
5 Apr
@ Etimesgut SK
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs 1926 Polatlı Belediye
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Nilüfer Belediye
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Silivrispor
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Kartal Bulvarspor
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tokat Bld Plevnespor – last 6
LLWDLW
12 Apr
@ Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Yeni Orduspor
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Giresunspor
2–0
W
25 Mar
@ Pazarspor
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Fatsa Belediyespor
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Artvin Hopaspor
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yalova Yeşilovaspor and Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
What is the prediction for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
Our pick is Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
On our numbers Yalova Yeşilovaspor have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Tokat Bld Plevnespor 18%.
How many goals will there be in Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
Our predicted score is Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1–1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor (3. Lig Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
