Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sesvete to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSesvete to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceSesvete or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Sesvete vs Hrvace preview and prediction
The match
Hrvace travel to face Sesvete in the First NL on Friday 23 October (14:00 WAT). Sesvete are 10th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Hrvace sit 16th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sesvete's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Opatija 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hrvace's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Kustosija 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sesvete and 0.7 for Hrvace. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sesvete 63%, draw 22%, Hrvace 15%.
Safer route: Sesvete or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Sesvete to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sesvete or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sesvete 1–0 Hrvace. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sesvete63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Hrvace15%fair 6.75 · @3.90
2.39Expected goals
1.71Sesvete xG
0.68Hrvace xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sesvete 1.7 – 0.7 Hrvace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sesvete to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sesvete or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Sesvete ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sesvete / FT Sesvete✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Sesvete – last 6
LDLLWW
16 Oct
@ Opatija
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Jadran LP
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hrvace – last 6
LLWWDL
17 Oct
vs Kustosija
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Vukovar
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sesvete and Hrvace.
Our pick is Sesvete or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sesvete vs Hrvace?
On our numbers Sesvete have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hrvace 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Hrvace?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sesvete vs Hrvace?
Our predicted score is Sesvete 1–0 Hrvace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sesvete vs Hrvace?
Sesvete vs Hrvace (First NL) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
