Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vukovar to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVukovar to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceVukovar or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.23
Vukovar vs Hrvace preview and prediction
The match
The First NL sees Vukovar take on Hrvace on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Gradski vrt. Vukovar are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Hrvace sit 16th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vukovar's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 0–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hrvace's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Orijent 1919 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Vukovar and 1.0 for Hrvace. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vukovar 59%, draw 25%, Hrvace 17%.
Safer route: Vukovar or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Vukovar to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vukovar or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vukovar 1–0 Hrvace. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vukovar59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Hrvace17%fair 6.05 · @3.50
2.88Expected goals
1.93Vukovar xG
0.95Hrvace xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.9 – 1.0 Hrvace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✓
59%
1.70
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Vukovar or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Half-time result
Vukovar ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.23
–
Form
Vukovar – last 6
LLLWWD
4 Oct
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Jadran LP
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hrvace – last 6
WWDLLL
26 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Jadran LP
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and Hrvace.
Our pick is Vukovar or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vukovar vs Hrvace?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hrvace 17%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs Hrvace?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs Hrvace?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–0 Hrvace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs Hrvace?
Vukovar vs Hrvace (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
