Jadran LP host Kustosija in the First NL on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at NK Jadran. Jadran LP are 3rd with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Kustosija sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jadran LP's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Vukovar 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kustosija's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Croatia Zmijavci 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jadran LP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Jadran LP and 1.0 for Kustosija. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Jadran LP 1–0 Kustosija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jadran LP50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Kustosija29%fair 3.42 · @3.20
2.32Expected goals
1.37Jadran LP xG
0.95Kustosija xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Jadran LP 1.4 – 1.0 Kustosija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jadran LP to win✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jadran LP / FT Jadran LP✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.44
–
Form
Jadran LP – last 6
WWLDWD
19 Sep
@ Vukovar
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Hrvace
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Opatija
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kustosija – last 6
WLDLDL
20 Sep
vs Croatia Zmijavci
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Mladost Ždralovi
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jadran LP and Kustosija.
What is the prediction for Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
On our numbers Jadran LP have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kustosija 29%.
How many goals will there be in Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
Our predicted score is Jadran LP 1–0 Kustosija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
Jadran LP vs Kustosija (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at NK Jadran.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
