Value bet: Jadran LP to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVukovar to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Vukovar vs Jadran LP preview and prediction
The match
Jadran LP travel to Stadion Gradski vrt in the First NL on Saturday 19 September (15:30 WAT) to face Vukovar. Vukovar are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Jadran LP sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Vukovar's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Croatia Zmijavci 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Jadran LP's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Orijent 1919 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Vukovar and 1.6 for Jadran LP. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Jadran LP to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Vukovar 2–1 Jadran LP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vukovar40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Jadran LP36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
3.20Expected goals
1.64Vukovar xG
1.56Jadran LP xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.6 – 1.6 Jadran LP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✗
40%
2.52
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Vukovar – last 6
WWDLWW
13 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Radnički Dalj
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jadran LP – last 6
WLDWDW
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Hrvace
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Opatija
2–2
D
30 May
vs Križevci
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and Jadran LP.
On our numbers Vukovar have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jadran LP 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs Jadran LP?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs Jadran LP?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 2–1 Jadran LP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs Jadran LP?
Vukovar vs Jadran LP (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
