Value bet: Croatia Zmijavci to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCroatia Zmijavci to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci preview and prediction
The match
Kustosija host Croatia Zmijavci in the First NL on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Kustosija. Kustosija are 4th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Croatia Zmijavci sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kustosija's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Croatia Zmijavci's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Vukovar 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Croatia Zmijavci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Kustosija and 1.1 for Croatia Zmijavci. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Croatia Zmijavci to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Kustosija 0–1 Croatia Zmijavci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kustosija34%fair 2.93 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Croatia Zmijavci40%fair 2.49 · @2.80
2.00Expected goals
0.94Kustosija xG
1.06Croatia Zmijavci xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kustosija 0.9 – 1.1 Croatia Zmijavci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Croatia Zmijavci to win✗
40%
2.49
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Kustosija – last 6
LDLDLW
16 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Mladost Ždralovi
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs HNK Zadar
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Croatia Zmijavci – last 6
LDWWWW
13 Sep
vs Vukovar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Orijent 1919
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Dubrava Zagreb
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Hrvace
3–0
W
30 May
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kustosija and Croatia Zmijavci.
What is the prediction for Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
On our numbers Kustosija have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Croatia Zmijavci 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Our predicted score is Kustosija 0–1 Croatia Zmijavci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci (First NL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kustosija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
