Value bet: HNK Cibalia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVukovar to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia preview and prediction
The match
Vukovar host HNK Cibalia in the First NL on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Stadion Gradski vrt. Vukovar are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Cibalia sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Vukovar's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb U21 2–6 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
HNK Cibalia's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Orijent 1919 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Vukovar and 1.3 for HNK Cibalia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: HNK Cibalia to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Vukovar 1–1 HNK Cibalia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vukovar43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
HNK Cibalia34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.83Expected goals
1.51Vukovar xG
1.32HNK Cibalia xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.5 – 1.3 HNK Cibalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✗
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
Vukovar – last 6
LWWDLL
2 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Radnički Dalj
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Mladost Ždralovi
1–1
D
22 May
@ HNK Hajduk Split
3–6
L
8 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HNK Cibalia – last 6
DDWLLD
2 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Dubrava Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Mladost Ždralovi
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ NK Osijek
0–3
L
30 May
@ Jarun
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and HNK Cibalia.
What is the prediction for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Cibalia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 HNK Cibalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
