Value bet: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgnatia Rrogozhinë to win ✗49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.34
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees AF Elbasani take on Egnatia Rrogozhinë on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Elbasan Arena. AF Elbasani are 6th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AF Elbasani's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tirana 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Skenderbeu Korce 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished AF Elbasani 0–4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Across their last 3 meetings AF Elbasani have won 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for AF Elbasani and 1.6 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AF Elbasani 29%, draw 22%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 49%.
Value angle: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AF Elbasani29%fair 3.43 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Egnatia Rrogozhinë49%fair 2.04 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.12AF Elbasani xG
1.55Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.1 – 1.6 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 49%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
