Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgnatia Rrogozhinë to win ✓69% · @1.50
Double chanceEgnatia Rrogozhinë or draw ✓91% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.54
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Egnatia Rrogozhinë take on Skenderbeu Korce on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Demrozi Stadium. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Skenderbeu Korce sit 5th on 14 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Vora 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Skenderbeu Korce's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tirana 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0.8 for Skenderbeu Korce. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–0 Skenderbeu Korce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Egnatia Rrogozhinë69%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Skenderbeu Korce9%fair 11.36 · @6.00
3.00Expected goals
2.24Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
0.76Skenderbeu Korce xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2.2 – 0.8 Skenderbeu Korce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win✓
69%
1.46
1.50
Double chance
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Egnatia Rrogozhinë ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egnatia Rrogozhinë / FT Egnatia Rrogozhinë✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.54
–
Form
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – last 6
WDWDWL
31 Aug
@ Vora
3–1
W
27 Aug
@ Lillestrom
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Tirana
3–0
W
20 Aug
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs Shamrock Rovers
5–1
W
4 Aug
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Skenderbeu Korce – last 6
LDLWWD
31 Aug
vs Dinamo Tirana
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
2–2
D
4 May
vs Laci
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Kastrioti Krujë
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Besa Kavajë
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Korabi Peshkopi
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Skenderbeu Korce.
What is the prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
Our pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
On our numbers Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Skenderbeu Korce 9%.
How many goals will there be in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
Our predicted score is Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–0 Skenderbeu Korce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Skenderbeu Korce (Superliga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Demrozi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
