The National Division sees Wiltz take on UNA Strassen on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade Am Petz. Wiltz are 15th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while UNA Strassen sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Wiltz's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sandweiler 6–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 3.2 conceded.
UNA Strassen's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat US Esch 8–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UNA Strassen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 0.9 for Wiltz and 2.5 for UNA Strassen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wiltz 11%, draw 17%, UNA Strassen 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was UNA Strassen to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Wiltz 0–2 UNA Strassen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wiltz11%fair 9.51 · @11.00
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @5.00
UNA Strassen73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
3.44Expected goals
0.89Wiltz xG
2.55UNA Strassen xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
0–18%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Wiltz 0.9 – 2.5 UNA Strassen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UNA Strassen to win✓
73%
1.37
1.20
Double chance
UNA Strassen or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
UNA Strassen ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UNA Strassen / FT UNA Strassen✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
10%
9.60
–
Form
Wiltz – last 6
WLLLLL
20 Sep
@ Sandweiler
6–2
W
16 Sep
@ Atert Bissen
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Progres Niederkorn
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ AS Jeunesse Esch
1–5
L
30 Aug
vs F91 Dudelange
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Victoria Rosport
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
UNA Strassen – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Sep
@ US Esch
8–0
W
16 Sep
vs US Rumelange
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ US Mondorf-les-bains
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Résidence Walferdange
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Atert Bissen
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wiltz and UNA Strassen.
Our pick is UNA Strassen to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
On our numbers Wiltz have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and UNA Strassen 73%.
How many goals will there be in Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
Our predicted score is Wiltz 0–2 UNA Strassen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Am Petz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
