Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.80
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn preview and prediction
The match
Wiltz host Progres Niederkorn in the National Division on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stade Am Petz. Wiltz are 15th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Progres Niederkorn sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Wiltz's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to AS Jeunesse Esch 1–5 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Progres Niederkorn's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat US Rumelange 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Progres Niederkorn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Wiltz 0–1 Progres Niederkorn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Wiltz and 2.3 for Progres Niederkorn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Progres Niederkorn or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Progres Niederkorn to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wiltz 0–2 Progres Niederkorn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wiltz12%fair 8.29 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.00
Progres Niederkorn66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
3.28Expected goals
0.95Wiltz xG
2.33Progres Niederkorn xG
51%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Wiltz 1.0 – 2.3 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our pick is Progres Niederkorn to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
On our numbers Wiltz have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Progres Niederkorn 66%.
How many goals will there be in Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our predicted score is Wiltz 0–2 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Am Petz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
