Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWiltz to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz preview and prediction
The match
The National Division sees Swift Hesperange take on Wiltz on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stade Alphonse Theis. Swift Hesperange are 16th with 0 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Wiltz sit 15th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Swift Hesperange's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to US Rumelange 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Wiltz's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Etzella Ettelbruck 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Swift Hesperange arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Swift Hesperange and 1.5 for Wiltz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swift Hesperange 21%, draw 19%, Wiltz 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Swift Hesperange 0–1 Wiltz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swift Hesperange21%fair 4.73 · @3.45
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.65
Wiltz60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
2.23Expected goals
0.71Swift Hesperange xG
1.51Wiltz xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Swift Hesperange 0.7 – 1.5 Wiltz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wiltz to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.45 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wiltz / FT Wiltz✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.12
–
Form
Swift Hesperange – last 6
LWWLLL
2 Aug
@ US Rumelange
0–1
L
23 May
@ Union Titus Petange
3–2
W
17 May
vs Victoria Rosport
3–0
W
10 May
vs US Hostert
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Rodange 91
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Mamer
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wiltz – last 3
DLL
1 Aug
vs Etzella Ettelbruck
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs AS Eupen
0–9
L
4 Mar
vs Progres Niederkorn
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swift Hesperange and Wiltz.
What is the prediction for Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
On our numbers Swift Hesperange have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Wiltz 60%.
How many goals will there be in Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
Our predicted score is Swift Hesperange 0–1 Wiltz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz?
Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Alphonse Theis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
