Value bet: AS Jeunesse Esch to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch preview and prediction
The match
The National Division sees Progres Niederkorn take on AS Jeunesse Esch on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Progres Niederkorn are 6th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while AS Jeunesse Esch sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Progres Niederkorn's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Excelsior Virton 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.3 conceded.
AS Jeunesse Esch's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Berdenia Berbourg 4–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Jeunesse Esch arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished AS Jeunesse Esch 2–1 Progres Niederkorn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Progres Niederkorn and 1.3 for AS Jeunesse Esch. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: AS Jeunesse Esch to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 AS Jeunesse Esch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progres Niederkorn41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
AS Jeunesse Esch36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
2.67Expected goals
1.40Progres Niederkorn xG
1.28AS Jeunesse Esch xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.4 – 1.3 AS Jeunesse Esch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Jeunesse Esch 36%.
How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 AS Jeunesse Esch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
