Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One Cup sees Charlotte Independence take on Hartford Athletic on Thursday 13 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 5th with 12 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Hartford Athletic sit 9th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Greenville Triumph 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hartford Athletic's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Indy Eleven 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Charlotte Independence and 1.4 for Hartford Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 40%, draw 23%, Hartford Athletic 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Hartford Athletic37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.44Charlotte Independence xG
1.37Hartford Athletic xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.4 – 1.4 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
40%
2.48
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Charlotte Independence – last 6
WWWLLD
9 Aug
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs One Knoxville
3–1
W
26 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Spokane Velocity
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–4
L
12 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 6
DLDLWD
9 Aug
@ Indy Eleven
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Phoenix Rising
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Rhode Island
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Westchester SC
2–1
W
9 Jul
vs Orange County SC
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartford Athletic 37%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
