Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Atletico to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Atletico host UTC Cajamarca in the on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Sporting Cristal 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Comerciantes Unidos 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Alianza Atletico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Alianza Atletico and 1.1 for UTC Cajamarca. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Atletico 65%, draw 22%, UTC Cajamarca 14%.
Safer route: Alianza Atletico or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 2–1 UTC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico65%fair 1.55 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
UTC Cajamarca14%fair 7.37 · @4.60
3.43Expected goals
2.37Alianza Atletico xG
1.06UTC Cajamarca xG
58%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 2.4 – 1.1 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 6
WDWLWL
21 Aug
vs Sporting Cristal
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ ADT
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
24 Jul
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Cusco
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
LLDLDL
22 Aug
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs ADT
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Cusco
1–4
L
26 Jul
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Atletico Grau
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and UTC Cajamarca.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UTC Cajamarca 14%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 2–1 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca () kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
