Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Carioca C · Brazil

Barra Mansa

LDDD
0–2
FT

Búzios

WDWWL

Barra Mansa vs Búzios prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBarra Mansa to win ✗53% · @1.75
Double chanceBarra Mansa or draw ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21

Barra Mansa vs Búzios preview and prediction

The match

The Carioca C sees Barra Mansa take on Búzios on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT).

Form guide

Barra Mansa's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Búzios 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Búzios's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Barra Mansa 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Búzios arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Búzios 3–0 Barra Mansa.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Barra Mansa and 1.0 for Búzios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Barra Mansa 1–1 Búzios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Barra Mansa53%fair 1.90 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Búzios22%fair 4.60 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.38Barra Mansa xG
1.05Búzios xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Barra Mansa 1.4 – 1.0 Búzios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarra Mansa to win ✗53%1.901.75
Double chanceBarra Mansa or draw ✗78%1.281.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barra Mansa / FT Barra Mansa ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.21–

Form

Barra Mansa – last 4

LDDD
19 Jul@ Búzios0–3L
12 Julvs Uni Souza0–0D
7 Jul@ Uni Souza0–0D
3 Julvs Cardoso Moreira2–2D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Búzios – last 5

WDWWL
19 Julvs Barra Mansa3–0W
12 Julvs EC Resende1–1D
6 Jul@ EC Resende1–0W
28 Jun@ Barcelona RJ7–0W
8 Junvs Cardoso Moreira0–2L
2.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Búzios v Barra Mansa3–0
Barra Mansa vs Búzios head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

On our numbers Barra Mansa have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Búzios 22%.

How many goals will there be in Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

Our predicted score is Barra Mansa 1–1 Búzios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

Barra Mansa vs Búzios (Carioca C) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.