Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica-RN to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceAmerica-RN or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.27
America-RN vs Gama preview and prediction
The match
America-RN host Gama in the Serie D on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Arena das Dunas.
Form guide
America-RN's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Trem 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gama's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Porto Velho 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
America-RN arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for America-RN and 0.7 for Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America-RN 62%, draw 26%, Gama 12%.
Safer route: America-RN or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was America-RN to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: America-RN 1–0 Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America-RN62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Gama12%fair 8.45 · @4.50
2.39Expected goals
1.74America-RN xG
0.65Gama xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: America-RN 1.7 – 0.7 Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America-RN to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
America-RN or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
America-RN ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America-RN / FT America-RN✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.27
–
Form
America-RN – last 6
WWWWWW
14 Jul
vs Trem
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Trem
4–1
W
27 Jun
vs Fluminense PI
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Fluminense PI
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Sousa
2–0
W
29 May
vs Central SC
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gama – last 6
WLWWDW
12 Jul
vs Porto Velho
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Porto Velho
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Mixto
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Mixto
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Aparecidense
2–2
D
31 May
@ Inhumas
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America-RN and Gama.
Our pick is America-RN to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win America-RN vs Gama?
On our numbers America-RN have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gama 12%.
How many goals will there be in America-RN vs Gama?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America-RN vs Gama?
Our predicted score is America-RN 1–0 Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is America-RN vs Gama?
America-RN vs Gama (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena das Dunas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Arena das Dunas
São Luiz0
CSA0