Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNova Iguaçu to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceNova Iguaçu or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Rio sees Nova Iguaçu take on América RJ on Wednesday 22 July, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Estádio Janio Moraes.
Form guide
Nova Iguaçu's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat América RJ 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
América RJ's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Nova Iguaçu 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nova Iguaçu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 July 2026, finished América RJ 0–1 Nova Iguaçu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Nova Iguaçu and 0.6 for América RJ. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nova Iguaçu 60%, draw 25%, América RJ 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Nova Iguaçu 1–0 América RJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nova Iguaçu60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
América RJ14%fair 6.92 · @4.50
2.14Expected goals
1.54Nova Iguaçu xG
0.60América RJ xG
38%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nova Iguaçu 1.5 – 0.6 América RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
On our numbers Nova Iguaçu have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and América RJ 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
Our predicted score is Nova Iguaçu 1–0 América RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ?
Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ (Copa Rio) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Janio Moraes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Rio · Brazil · Estádio Janio Moraes
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