Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21 prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Bristol Rovers to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.82 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.82Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✗64% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21 preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea U21 travel to Memorial Stadium in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 25 August (19:00 WAT) to face Bristol Rovers. Bristol Rovers are 1st with 8 points from 3 games, while Chelsea U21 sit 4th on 1 points.
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Newport County 5–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chelsea U21's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to AFC Bournemouth U21 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Bristol Rovers and 1.1 for Chelsea U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol Rovers 64%, draw 16%, Chelsea U21 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bristol Rovers to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.82, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 2–1 Chelsea U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers64%fair 1.57 · @1.82
Draw16%fair 6.30 · @3.85
Chelsea U2120%fair 4.91 · @3.55
3.22Expected goals
2.14Bristol Rovers xG
1.08Chelsea U21 xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 2.1 – 1.1 Chelsea U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✗
64%
1.57
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Half-time result
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 6
WLLDDL
22 Aug
vs Newport County
5–3
W
15 Aug
@ York
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Peterborough
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Leicester
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelsea U21 – last 6
LDLLWW
21 Aug
@ AFC Bournemouth U21
1–2
L
21 Jul
vs Cardiff City U21
0–0
D
1 May
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Fulham U21
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Wolves U21
4–0
W
9 Mar
@ Birmingham City U21
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Chelsea U21.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
Our pick is Bristol Rovers to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.82.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Chelsea U21 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 2–1 Chelsea U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21?
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
