EFL Trophy · England · Spotland
Rochdale vs Doncaster prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 2.3 Doncaster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Doncaster shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 21% for Rochdale.
Rochdale have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.3 per game. Doncaster have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded. Doncaster come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.4 for Rochdale, 2.3 for Doncaster). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Doncaster to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Doncaster ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Doncaster / FT Doncaster ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.83 | – |
Form
Rochdale – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Port Vale | 2–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Accrington ST | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Grimsby | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Crewe | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Tranmere | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Huddersfield | 0–5 | L |
Doncaster – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Milton Keynes Dons | 1–6 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Luton | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Stockport County | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Leicester | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Burton Albion | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Doncaster.
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Doncaster | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Everton U21 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
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What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Doncaster?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Rochdale vs Doncaster?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Doncaster 58%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Doncaster?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Rochdale vs Doncaster?
Rochdale vs Doncaster (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.