National League South · England · York RoadMaidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Tonbridge Angels to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.4 – 1.2 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Maidenhead hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Tonbridge Angels.
Maidenhead have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Tonbridge Angels have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Maidenhead, 1.2 for Tonbridge Angels). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.66. For a bigger price, Tonbridge Angels to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Maidenhead to win ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead ✗ | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.96 | – |
Form
Maidenhead – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Chesham United | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ebbsfleet United | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Billericay Town | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Torquay | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Dover | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs AFC Totton | 1–1 | D |
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Torquay | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Ebbsfleet United | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ramsgate | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Hemel Hempstead Town | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Maidstone Utd | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Farnborough | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Tonbridge Angels.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tonbridge Angels 35%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels?
Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.