Value bet: Maidenhead to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelmsford City to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓63% · fair 1.59
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.32
Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead preview and prediction
The match
Chelmsford City host Maidenhead in the National League South on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Chelmsford City are 8th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Maidenhead sit 18th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chelmsford City's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Folkestone Invicta 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Maidenhead's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Farnborough 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.7 for Chelmsford City and 0.6 for Maidenhead. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 86% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelmsford City 41%, draw 23%, Maidenhead 36%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Maidenhead to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelmsford City 0–0 Maidenhead. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelmsford City41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Maidenhead36%fair 2.76 · @3.25
1.29Expected goals
0.68Chelmsford City xG
0.61Maidenhead xG
47%Both score
14%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–028%
1–019%
0–117%
1–111%
2–06%
0–25%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 0.7 – 0.6 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✓
41%
2.44
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.32
–
Form
Chelmsford City – last 6
DDDWDD
22 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Truro City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Bishop's Stortford
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ AFC Hornchurch
3–3
D
6 Apr
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maidenhead – last 6
DWDLLD
22 Aug
vs Farnborough
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Truro City
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Maidenhead.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maidenhead 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 14% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 0–0 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
