Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Ebbsfleet United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.00
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta preview and prediction
The match
Folkestone Invicta travel to Stonebridge Road Stadium in the National League South on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT) to face Ebbsfleet United. Ebbsfleet United are 1st with 35 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Folkestone Invicta sit 15th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ebbsfleet United's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Sholing 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Folkestone Invicta's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Salisbury 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ebbsfleet United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Ebbsfleet United and 0.8 for Folkestone Invicta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ebbsfleet United 61%, draw 24%, Folkestone Invicta 16%.
Safer route: Ebbsfleet United or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Ebbsfleet United to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ebbsfleet United or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Folkestone Invicta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ebbsfleet United61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Folkestone Invicta16%fair 6.37 · @3.60
2.50Expected goals
1.74Ebbsfleet United xG
0.76Folkestone Invicta xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.7 – 0.8 Folkestone Invicta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ebbsfleet United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.00
–
Form
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
LDWWDD
3 Oct
vs Sholing
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Slough Town
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Tonbridge Angels
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Maidenhead
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Salisbury
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folkestone Invicta – last 6
LLLDLW
26 Sep
@ Salisbury
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dover
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Horsham
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Torquay
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebbsfleet United and Folkestone Invicta.
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Folkestone Invicta 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Folkestone Invicta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.