National League North · England

Merthyr Town

DLLDD
4–1
FT

Hebburn Town

DDLLD

Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMerthyr Town to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Win chances

Merthyr Town45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.75
Hebburn Town36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
2.98Expected goals
1.60Merthyr Town xG
1.38Hebburn Town xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%

From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.6 – 1.4 Hebburn Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Merthyr Town hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 36% for Hebburn Town.

Merthyr Town have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Hebburn Town have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Merthyr Town, 1.4 for Hebburn Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.57.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMerthyr Town to win ✓45%2.212.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.53
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town ✓25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Form

Merthyr Town – last 6

DLLDDL
31 Oct@ Radcliffe3–3D
27 Oct@ Oxford City0–3L
24 Octvs Morecambe1–3L
17 Octvs King's Lynn Town1–1D
10 Oct@ Darlington 18831–1D
26 Sepvs Marine1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hebburn Town – last 6

DDLLDL
31 Octvs Harborough Town1–1D
24 Oct@ AFC Telford United2–2D
17 Octvs Scarborough Athletic0–2L
10 Octvs Oxford City0–3L
26 Sep@ Darlington 18831–1D
19 Sepvs Guiseley AFC1–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town.

More National League North predictions

FT AFC Telford United2 Spalding United1 631324 1AFC Telford United to win 63%@1.90 ✓ FT Brackley Town0 Chester1 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗ FT Chorley1 Hereford2 412236 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT Hednesford Town6 Morecambe2 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT King's Lynn Town2 Spennymoor Town0 621919 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓ FT Scarborough Athletic2 Buxton2 342145 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓ FT South Shields5 Southport1 622314 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?

On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hebburn Town 36%.

How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town?

Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.