National League North · England · Victory Park

Chorley

LWLDW
1–2
FT

Hereford

LLWLD

Chorley vs Hereford prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChorley to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Win chances

Chorley41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Hereford36%fair 2.74 · @2.35
2.89Expected goals
1.50Chorley xG
1.39Hereford xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.5 – 1.4 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Chorley and Hereford on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Chorley have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Hereford have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Chorley come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Chorley, 1.4 for Hereford). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChorley to win ✗41%2.432.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chorley / FT Chorley ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Form

Chorley – last 6

LWLDWW
31 Oct@ Spennymoor Town0–2L
27 Oct@ Radcliffe3–0W
24 Octvs Buxton2–3L
17 Octvs Worcester City1–1D
10 Octvs AFC Telford United2–1W
3 Oct@ Barton Town Old Boys4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hereford – last 6

LLWLDL
31 Octvs King's Lynn Town0–3L
27 Octvs AFC Telford United0–1L
24 Oct@ Macclesfield2–1W
10 Octvs Hednesford Town0–1L
26 Sep@ Bedford Town1–1D
19 Sep@ Stafford Rangers2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Hereford.

More National League North predictions

FT AFC Telford United2 Spalding United1 631324 1AFC Telford United to win 63%@1.90 ✓ FT Brackley Town0 Chester1 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗ FT Hednesford Town6 Morecambe2 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT King's Lynn Town2 Spennymoor Town0 621919 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓ FT Merthyr Town4 Hebburn Town1 451936 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓ FT Scarborough Athletic2 Buxton2 342145 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓ FT South Shields5 Southport1 622314 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs Hereford?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Chorley vs Hereford?

On our numbers Chorley have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hereford 36%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Hereford?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Chorley vs Hereford?

Chorley vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.