National League North · England · St James Park

Brackley Town

WDLLW
0–1
FT

Chester

LWLWL

Brackley Town vs Chester prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Brackley Town to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultChester to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.98

Win chances

Brackley Town36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Chester41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
2.61Expected goals
1.25Brackley Town xG
1.36Chester xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Brackley Town 1.2 – 1.4 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Brackley Town and Chester on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Brackley Town have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Chester have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Brackley Town, 1.4 for Chester). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Brackley Town to win at 3.10 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChester to win ✓41%2.432.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chester / FT Chester ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10%9.98–

Form

Brackley Town – last 6

WDLLWL
31 Oct@ Worksop Town1–0W
27 Oct@ Spalding United2–2D
24 Octvs Radcliffe0–1L
17 Oct@ Hednesford Town2–3L
10 Octvs Spennymoor Town2–1W
3 Octvs Chelmsford City0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chester – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Octvs Hednesford Town0–1L
27 Octvs Marine2–1W
24 Oct@ South Shields1–3L
10 Octvs Bedford Town1–0W
3 Oct@ Spennymoor Town1–4L
26 Sepvs Worksop Town4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brackley Town and Chester.

More National League North predictions

FT AFC Telford United2 Spalding United1 631324 1AFC Telford United to win 63%@1.90 ✓ FT Chorley1 Hereford2 412236 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT Hednesford Town6 Morecambe2 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT King's Lynn Town2 Spennymoor Town0 621919 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓ FT Merthyr Town4 Hebburn Town1 451936 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓ FT Scarborough Athletic2 Buxton2 342145 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓ FT South Shields5 Southport1 622314 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brackley Town vs Chester?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Brackley Town vs Chester?

On our numbers Brackley Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chester 41%.

How many goals will there be in Brackley Town vs Chester?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Brackley Town vs Chester?

Brackley Town vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.