Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Paderborn II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaderborn II to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chancePaderborn II or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga West sees Sportfreunde Lotte take on Paderborn II on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Sportfreunde Lotte are 18th with 7 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Paderborn II sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sportfreunde Lotte's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to SV Rodinghausen 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Paderborn II's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Rot-weiss Oberhausen 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Paderborn II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Sportfreunde Lotte and 2.1 for Paderborn II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportfreunde Lotte 18%, draw 21%, Paderborn II 61%.
Safer route: Paderborn II or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paderborn II or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sportfreunde Lotte 1–2 Paderborn II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportfreunde Lotte18%fair 5.43 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.70
Paderborn II61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
3.18Expected goals
1.08Sportfreunde Lotte xG
2.10Paderborn II xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Lotte 1.1 – 2.1 Paderborn II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paderborn II to win✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Paderborn II or draw✗
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Paderborn II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paderborn II / FT Paderborn II✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Sportfreunde Lotte – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
@ SV Rodinghausen
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Borussia M'gladbach II
0–5
L
19 Sep
@ Schalke 04 II
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Hilden
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Westfalia Rhynern
2–3
L
2 Sep
vs Bergisch Gladbach
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paderborn II – last 6
LWDLWD
4 Oct
@ Rot-weiss Oberhausen
0–4
L
25 Sep
@ FC Gutersloh
3–1
W
21 Sep
vs Borussia Dortmund II
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Wiedenbrück
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs SG Wattenscheid 09
5–2
W
2 Sep
@ Sportfreunde Siegen
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportfreunde Lotte and Paderborn II.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
Our pick is Paderborn II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Lotte have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paderborn II 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Lotte 1–2 Paderborn II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
