Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Sportfreunde Siegen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sportfreunde Siegen to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportfreunde Siegen to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceSportfreunde Siegen or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC preview and prediction
The match
Sportfreunde Siegen host Bonner SC in the Regionalliga West on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Leimbachstadion. Sportfreunde Siegen are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Bonner SC sit 6th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sportfreunde Siegen's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat FC Bocholt 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Bonner SC's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Köln II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Sportfreunde Siegen 1–2 Bonner SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Sportfreunde Siegen and 1.0 for Bonner SC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Sportfreunde Siegen or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Sportfreunde Siegen to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sportfreunde Siegen or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sportfreunde Siegen 2–0 Bonner SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportfreunde Siegen66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.40
Bonner SC14%fair 7.01 · @3.90
3.21Expected goals
2.25Sportfreunde Siegen xG
0.96Bonner SC xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Siegen 2.2 – 1.0 Bonner SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
Our pick is Sportfreunde Siegen or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Siegen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bonner SC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Siegen 2–0 Bonner SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Leimbachstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
