Value bet: Borussia M'gladbach II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia M'gladbach II to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga West sees Borussia M'gladbach II take on SV Rodinghausen on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Borussia M'gladbach II are 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while SV Rodinghausen sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Borussia M'gladbach II's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Fortuna Köln 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
SV Rodinghausen's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Hessen Kassel 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
SV Rodinghausen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Borussia M'gladbach II and 1.0 for SV Rodinghausen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Value angle: Borussia M'gladbach II to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Borussia M'gladbach II 1–1 SV Rodinghausen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia M'gladbach II61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.40
SV Rodinghausen20%fair 4.96 · @3.35
2.91Expected goals
1.93Borussia M'gladbach II xG
0.98SV Rodinghausen xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Borussia M'gladbach II 1.9 – 1.0 SV Rodinghausen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia M'gladbach II to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Borussia M'gladbach II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia M'gladbach II / FT Borussia M'gladbach II✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Borussia M'gladbach II – last 6
LLLLDW
18 Jul
@ Fortuna Köln
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs TuS Koblenz
3–4
L
4 Jul
@ VVV Venlo
2–3
L
9 May
@ Rot-weiss Oberhausen
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Bochum II
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Wuppertaler SV
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SV Rodinghausen – last 6
WLWLLD
25 Jul
vs Hessen Kassel
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ SSV Jeddeloh
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Kickers Emden
4–1
W
4 Jul
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
2–4
L
9 May
vs Wiedenbrück
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Schalke 04 II
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia M'gladbach II and SV Rodinghausen.
What is the prediction for Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen?
On our numbers Borussia M'gladbach II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SV Rodinghausen 20%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen?
Our predicted score is Borussia M'gladbach II 1–1 SV Rodinghausen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen?
Borussia M'gladbach II vs SV Rodinghausen (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
